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Prediction for CME (2015-06-18T17:24:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-06-18T17:24ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8710/-1 CME Note: Clear indication of CME in AIA 171 and 193: opening/rising field lines starting around 16:30Z, followed by dimmings, two-ribbon flare, outflows. The CME was fast and bright, and also had a 360-degree halo/asymmetric shock structure. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-21T15:40Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: Max Kp: 4.0 Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-21T09:26Z Confidence that the CME will arrive: 35.5% Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.5 - 5.0 Prediction Method: Median of all Methods Prediction Method Note: This is the auto generated median of all submitted predictions for this CME.Lead Time: -83717.27 hour(s) Difference: 6.23 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z |
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